From diesel tax penalties and calls to rule out a further rise in insurance premium tax, to housing ambitions and planning laws, UK Chancellor Philip Hammond has faced a lot of pressure this week, ahead of the announcement due tomorrow.

Below Finance Monthly has heard from a number of source in the industry on what they expect, predict and would like to see come from the announcement, in this week’s Your Thoughts.

Adam Chester, Head of Economics, Lloyds Bank Commercial Banking:

Tomorrow’s budget will have to strike a difficult balance. Improvements to the public finances had given some room to ease policy, but that will be squeezed when the Office for Budget Responsibility revises down its growth forecasts on Wednesday.

The commitment to reducing the so-called structural budget deficit to below two% of national income by 2020-21, gives us a framework to assess how much room there is for any giveaways.

At the March Budget, the structural deficit was forecast to undershoot the two% target by £26bn. It’s now set to fall £6-8bn short of the March forecast, mainly due to stronger-than-expected tax receipts.

However, the OBR warned it will dial down its productivity forecasts, and we estimate a 0.4% downward revision would increase the structural budget deficit by around £15-£20bn.

On top of this, new funds are being sought for areas including Northern Ireland, public sector pay and the NHS, which would likely mean breaching the two% cap.

However, we suspect any available wiggle room would be used to fund a modest fiscal giveaway in order to keep borrowing and debt projections on track.

Matthew Walters, Head of Consultancy & Data Services, LeasePlan UK:

Fleets have been subjected to a lot of change in 2017. April saw the introduction of a new Vehicle Excise Duty system and new rules for Optional Remuneration Arrangements. July saw the publication of the Air Quality Plan, with its promise of Clean Air Zones around the country. And now it’s the turn of the Chancellor’s first Autumn Budget.

This Budget cannot add to the uncertainty facing fleets and motorists. In fact, it should provide clarity. The Chancellor must take the opportunity to reveal the rates of Fuel Duty for next year, as well as the rates of Company Car Tax for 2021-22 – and preferably beyond.

We’d like to see the Chancellor maintaining the freeze on Fuel Duty rates for another year – or perhaps even cutting them for the first time since 2011.

In addition, the UK Government is working hard to encourage the uptake of Ultra Low Emission Vehicles (ULEVs). We will have to see what incentives the Chancellor has up his sleeve.

Stephen Ward, Director of strategy, the Council for Licensed Conveyancers (CLC):

An Englishman’s home may be his castle, but purchasing that castle, family home or two bed flat is an archaic process that needs to be updated. The conveyancing market has never been in more need of attention and next Wednesday’s autumn budget presents Philip Hammond with a real opportunity to let the genie out of the lamp and demonstrate a real commitment to innovation in the property transfer process. We have three wishes for next week, namely:

• The allocation of a small fund to drive R&D for wholly new approaches that the private sector can then deliver and export in finding solutions for improving the availability and comparability of information on price and service for consumers;
• Incentives for conveyancing providers to invest in new IT to provide better, more secure transactions;
• Help for the industry in preparing for outcome of DCLG work on improving the conveyancing process that will deliver solutions we can export.

James Hender, Partner, Saffery Champness:

Stagnating productivity means that any rabbits which the Chancellor wishes to pull out of his budget hat are not looking too healthy. OBR forecasts have eaten into the £26bn headroom the Chancellor thought he had, and though the expectation may be that Mr Hammond will spend to win some political capital, any tax gift will come at a price, and is likely to be subsidised at someone else’s expense.

The government is arguably stuck between a rock and a hard place on corporation tax. A fine balance will need to be struck between ensuring the UK demonstrates that it is open for global business, and being publicly seen to tackle any perception of big business not paying its way.

In this climate, the 2020 commitment to 17% Corporation Tax may be looked at again, and we can certainly expect rhetoric, if not concrete action, to further reinforce the government’s position in taking a central role on international tax transparency and anti-avoidance.

On appealing to younger voters: This is perhaps one of the most politically-charged Budgets of recent years, with many predicting that the Chancellor will use the occasion to try and appeal to a younger generation of votes. If Phillip Hammond is as bold as some have called for him to be, the implications of this political move on taxpayers could be significant.

Michael Marks, CEO, Smoothwall:

After Philip Hammond’s pledge in last year’s Autumn Statement to invest £1.9bn in cybersecurity, we can expect further funding (or at least reference) to this issue as the cybersecurity landscape heats up. Following a year that included the biggest cyberattack on the NHS and the Petya malware attack across the continent, cyber security needs to be an absolute priority for investment; without extra funding and protection, the Government risks undoing a lot of the hard work. So far, the near £2bn cyber windfall doesn’t seem to have had quite the desired impact.

Along with cyber security, I would like to see continued investment in the Enterprise Investment Scheme (EIS). It’s thought that the EIS investment may be reduced from 30% to 20%, thereby reducing entrepreneurial growth, and the UK could suffer consequently in the long term. As a country with a great track record of innovation, reducing investment in this scheme will have a detrimental impact on driving technology and business growth at a time when we need more people to ‘take that step’.

Stuart Weekes, Tax Partner, Crowe Clark Whitehill:

We would welcome a simplification of the rules and the removal of one of the two sets of Patent Box incentive rules as part of tomorrow’s announcements.

Very few companies are taking advantage of Patent Box incentives, which tax the profits from patented products at 10%, a nine-percentage point discount on the current 19% rate of tax. Many companies do not know about this and, for those that do, the complexity of the legislation has been a major barrier to making a claim. Once the UK exits the EU, will the government improve the benefit of the Patent Box, especially as the UK Corporation Tax rate will drop to 17%, making the margin for the Patent Box less attractive than it might otherwise be? Will this prompt a cut in the applicable Patent Box tax rate from 10% to 8%?

Chris Wood, CEO, Develop Training:

The UK Government has recently published an independent review concerning the increasing applications for artificial intelligence (AI). Its recommendations focus largely on the provision and development of training and education in academia and for master-level and PhD students. Support is recommended for organisations such as, and amongst other, the Royal Academy of Engineering, the Alan Turing Institute, and the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council. AI is likely however not only to influence academia but, over the next 10-30 years, affect almost all of the current activities we perform at work and at home.

The current skills shortage, felt most keenly in the utilities, construction and engineering sectors is the end-result of under-investment on the part of both government and industry over the last 30-40 years. It is inconceivable, and somewhat terrifying, that this will continue into the mid-21st century particularly against a backdrop of such monumental change. Therefore the 2017 budget should include provision not only for a greater understanding of AI from an academically-driven research perspective but also from that of every individual. Children, school-leavers and those who will be in employment for the next 30-40 years must be educated in how AI is likely to affect their jobs, careers and lives. To achieve this the government would do well to establish a national institute for the promotion, understanding and application of AI for the benefit of all.

Mark Palethorpe, CFO, Cox Powertrain:

There are Government incentives for small innovative businesses like ours, but the Patient Capital Review has promised to address the need to encourage long-term investment in step-change innovation. For some people, the investments required by smaller innovators are just too small to get excited about and, for others, investment levels are too big for the risk. You can get caught out whatever size you are. Results of the Patient Capital Review are expected to be announced as part of the Autumn Budget and we’d like to see more opportunities for investment in innovation. We’d welcome an increase in the cap that exists for tax relief investment schemes like EIS, which has worked really well for us but does limit the amount an individual company can invest.

Nigel Wilcock, Executive Director, the Institute of Economic Development:

For the good of the economy, in tomorrow’s announcement on the UK Autumn Budget we need clarity on the structures and budgets for elements of the Industrial Strategy; clarity on how Structural Funds will be replaced for regions and clarity on local authority funding – how the business rate retention mechanism and re-allocation system will work. Specifically, we are seeking commitments from the Chancellor to transport infrastructure that equalises expenditure per head between regions, greater recognition of the social care costs falling on local authorities and funding for state aid interventions for business. We also recognise that National Insurance contributions from employers need to be looked at – it is an important economic issue that variations in different types of employment contracts are allowing corporations to be avoiding contributions when the economy is at full employment. The tax take of the economy is increasingly disconnected from the level of activity.

Damian Kimmelman, CEO, DueDil:

The abnormally low level of interest rates could be weighing on productivity growth by allowing weak and highly indebted firms to survive for longer than they normally would, by alleviating the burden of servicing their debts. Better information is needed to identify these firms, understand their business and support those with potential.

We have seen the government put their full weight behind opening data initiatives, such as Open Defra, to huge effect. DueDil would like to see the government put their full weight behind Open Banking and ensure that all of the CMA 9 banks (and beyond) open up as much banking data as possible to stimulate innovation in financial services and put the UK at the fore-front of Open Banking globally.

The UKEF committee has pledged to continue supporting exports and export finance. More interestingly, they have pledged that they will digitalise and standardise the application and on boarding process for businesses applying for export financing. DueDil would like to see the government to fund a competition to build a solution that would support the digitalisation of UKEF, in order to ensure that SMEs can painlessly and efficiently access a market of export financing and to ensure the ongoing success of SMEs following Brexit.

William Newton, President & EMEA MD, WiredScore:

The UK has the largest digital economy of any G20 nation, but it is important that technological skills and innovation continue to be employed across a range of industries. The service sector, for example, currently accounts for the greatest share of hours worked at lower productivity levels in the UK. Therefore, digitising existing processes in this sector presents a massive opportunity to address this productivity concern.

If the Government is to enable increased productivity, it must ensure that the existing generation has the necessary skills to meet the demands of modern industry. We would like to see a policy on business rates incentives for organisations who can prove they are investing in their workforce's digital skills.

Earlier this year, the Government announced its intention to support business rate reliefs on new 5G Mobile and full fibre broadband in the Telecommunications Infrastructure Bill. This proposal was received favourably by network providers, and we are now witnessing commitments such as that made by Openreach chair Mike McTighe confirming a plan to bring fibre to 10 million premises before Christmas. As such, the impact of business rates incentives has already been shown to be successful in spearheading improvements to the country’s digital infrastructure. We now need to see digital skills getting the same treatment.

Katharine Lindley, Chartered Financial Planner, EQ Investors:

It could be a tricky Budget for the Chancellor with limited legislative time due to ongoing focus on Brexit. But first one of current Parliament so generally Chancellors like to increase taxes and hope people forget by the next general election. However, minority government makes controversial changes difficult:

• As increase in NI failed, doubt he will risk anything major– perhaps consultation on earnings and taxation of different sources, salary, dividends, bonus etc. Looking at tax reform around ‘workers’ rights with Uber/Deliveroo recent cases and growth of self-employed and single person incorporations.
• Re-announce the dividend allowance cut to £2k from April 2018 – risk it is reduced even further or dividends tax rates aligned with income rates.
• Some positive news on housing and releasing land, possibly relief on stamp duty for first time buyers to increase volume of property transactions.
• Possibly further increases on insurance premium tax to gradually align with VAT rate.
• Patient capital review and what happens to VCT/EIS. Providers are raising monies earlier than usually, but recent press has suggested the picture could improve for genuine start-ups. We may see increased restrictions on less risky ventures and more relief for higher risk and longer committed capital.
• Pensions – hopefully very little. A few rumours about raiding tax relief for ‘older people’ and giving an increased break for ‘younger’. Would provide good headlines but extremely difficult/impractical to administer.
• VAT threshold (£85k) for business either reduce or remove the inflation linking
• Business rates some relief on the high increases.

Mark Tighe, CEO, Catax:

The UK’s reputation as a world leader in Research and Development is essential to the welfare of the British economy as the Brexit process gathers pace.

In order for these smaller firms to compete on the world stage they must be innovating - which can be expensive. As it stands, current R&D tax credit legislation allows SMEs to take the risk of developing a new product, service or process - without undue worry over the financial impact if it fails or is never used. This creates a fertile environment for businesses to experiment and grow and supports the economy moving forward.

Mrs May used her speech at the CBI earlier this month to call on business to innovate more. She’s absolutely right to do so. The key now is making sure Philip Hammond follows through and makes sure the Government properly supports the firms that do.

Ed Molyneux, CEO and co-founder, FreeAgent:

Assuming that the VAT threshold is lowered - as some reports are suggesting - a huge number of contractors, freelancers and micro-business owners would be faced with a significant new administrative and financial burden.

It’s very unfair to position freelancers and contractors as not being on a level playing field with those who are employed. These business owners have none of the employment rights or the security that employed workers have and there must be some recognition for that - unless the government wants to slow the growth of this very important part of the UK economy - representing more than 95% of the UK’s 5.5 million businesses.

We would like to see some positive news in the Budget for the micro-business sector; whether it’s new legislation to help them overcome the chronic issue of late payment, easier tax rules to navigate or simply recognition of the recent Taylor Review and the ongoing status of those working in the gig economy. Freelancers and micro-businesses play a huge role in our economy - it’s time the government started supporting them.

Steven Tebbutt, Tax Director, MHA MacIntyre Hudson:

There’s a growing expectation that Entrepreneurs’ Relief will be attacked as part of the Autumn Budget 2017, which will prove an unpopular move with business owners and aspiring entrepreneurs. Such a change might appeal however to younger generations who feel that wealthy business owners shouldn’t benefit from such a generous tax saving measure.

The Government has already introduced “anti-phoenixing” rules to combat business owners abusing the relief by extracting profits through liquidation, only to resume the same business, sometimes multiple times or even ad infinitum. However, there remains a number of planning opportunities which the Government could still look to limit or close.

For example, it would be relatively simple for the Government to amend the legislation so that qualifying conditions have to be met for, say, five years, rather than the current one year which generally applies. This would immediately make it more difficult to structure disposals in advance of a sale to secure Entrepreneurs’ Relief, as business owners looking to sell would have far less opportunity for eleventh hour planning. Such a change would help ensure that only business owners meeting the conditions over a substantial period qualify for relief.

Robert Gordon, CEO, Hitachi Capital UK:

We know that clean air is on the agenda, as we have seen the Government proactively move towards legislation aimed at tackling the UK’s pollution problem, therefore we fully expect that tomorrow’s announcement will include some form of punitive measure towards diesel vehicles.

Growing uncertainty from consumers around the future of diesel vehicles has already fuelled a rapid decline in the market, with October sales falling by nearly a third compared to last year and any additional deterrent could prove to be decisive, in encouraging a phasing out of diesel vehicles altogether.

If this happens, the Government must be prepared to outline how it plans to fund the infrastructure improvements required, to give businesses and consumers the confidence to make the transition to vehicles powered by alternative fuels at a faster pace than we have seen to date.

Jonquil Lowe, Senior Lecturer in Economics and Personal Finance, The Open University:

The Chancellor is expected to follow an Office of Tax Simplification (OTS) recommendation to reduce the VAT threshold, currently £85.000, possibly as low as £25,000. This must look tempting since it could bring up to £2 billion into the government coffers, sucking 1.5 million business minnows into the VAT system. Depending on whether traders can pass the tax on to customers and who their customers are, this extra tax will be paid partly by firms and partly by households through higher charges for their plumbers, builders, taxis and hairdressers.

Quite apart from paying the tax, HMRC has estimated the cost per business of dealing with the VAT admin is £675 a year. Moreover, if there is no change to the exemption level for Making Tax Digital, currently set at the VAT threshold, from April 2019 those small businesses will also suddenly find themselves sucked into mandatory quarterly digital accounting.

By extending the VAT base, cutting the threshold narrowly skates around the Conservative Manifesto promise not to raise the level of VAT. And, no doubt, it will be dressed up as a tax avoidance measure aimed at traders operating in the informal economy. But make no mistake: this will be a stealthy and substantial tax rise.

Martin Ewings, Director of Specialist Markets, Experis:

As we await the Chancellor’s Autumn Budget with anticipation, the focus must be on driving growth in key areas and ensuring the long-term economic prospects of a post-Brexit Britain. Increased infrastructure spending is expected to be one of the pillars of the budget, injecting regions around the country with much-needed jobs and investment. But we must have the skills in place if the nation is to deliver on such projects, both now and in decades to come. The recent announcement of £21m to boost regional tech hubs around the country is a positive step, but more needs to be done if we are to close the ever-widening skills gap.

Digital investment will be an important component of this, and new technologies could hold the key. Philip Hammond is poised to focus on AI (£75m investment), electric cars (£440m investment) and 5G (£160m investment), while also pledging £76m to improving digital and construction skills more widely. With so many different priorities, it’s important not to lose sight of nurturing future talent. The Cyber Discovery programme is a great example of what needs to be done. The £20m government initiative, announced on Saturday, will aim to encourage and inspire 15-18-year-olds to enter the cyber security industry via a comprehensive curriculum. There will be three million unfilled jobs in cyber-security by 2021, but investing in programmes like this could go a long way to help ministers and businesses plug the UK skills gap, both now and in the future.

Craig Harman, Tax Specialist, Perrys Chartered Accountants:

Following the introduction of the help to buy ISA, first time buyers could once again be one of the winners from the budget as the chancellor is expected to announce changes to Stamp Duty Land Tax. This could include either a reduction in the rate for first time buyers or even a ‘holiday’ period providing a complete exemption for those able to benefit. It has even been suggested that there could be a fundamental overhaul by making the seller liable for Stamp Duty instead of the purchaser. This would benefit any individuals moving to a more valuable property as the liability would be based on the lower value of their current home.

Tax relief on pensions has been a bit of an easy target over the past few years with both the annual and lifetime allowance significantly reduced. It is likely that we will see a further cut in the tax relief available on funding for retirement. Some have even suggested a complete change to an ‘ISA’ like system, however this may be a step too far.

Individuals with significant dividend income have been penalised heavily over the past couple of years and this may be set to continue with many predicting either a cut in the tax-free dividend allowance or an increase in the tax rate.

Aziz Rahman, Founder, Rahman Ravelli:

The Paradise Papers have placed the issue of non-payment of tax back on the news agenda at a time when the Chancellor is announcing his tax priorities.

A large part of the Chancellor’s job is to assess and determine what taxation can be brought in from business. And in the current climate, everyone in business is under scrutiny to ensure they are paying what they should. This scrutiny can only increase if new or heavier taxes are announced tomorrow.

This may seem alarmist. But the Criminal Finances Act, which only came into effect two months ago, makes companies criminally liable if they fail to prevent tax evasion by anyone working for them; even if they were unaware it was happening. They can face unlimited penalties.

If businesses are to avoid prosecution, they must be able to show they had reasonable measures in place to prevent such wrongdoing. To ensure this is the case, they must review their practices and procedures to minimise risks.

This means ensuring staff are aware of the legislation regarding tax offences, having procedures in place for monitoring workplace activity and introducing procedures so that suspicions of wrongdoing can be reported in confidence.

The government is under huge pressure to tackle the non-payment of tax. At a time when the government is outlining its tax priorities, it would be foolish for those in business to fail to make sure their tax affairs are legal and above board.

We would also love to hear more of Your Thoughts on this, so feel free to comment below and tell us what you think!

Here Charu Lahiri, Investment Manager at Heartwood Investment Management, discusses the current challenges at the heart of online retailing and the overall effect click to click has had on commercial property markets.

Online retailing is an evolving landscape that is leading to structural shifts in the commercial property market across the globe. Here in the UK, internet sales now make up 16% of total retail sales compared to less than 4% a decade ago, according to the Office of National Statistics. This trend is expected to grow further; indeed, the average weekly value of internet sales totalled more than £1 billion in September, a 14% increase year-on-year. In fact, the UK leads the rest of Europe in total online sales volume.

Inevitably as retail purchasing trends are changing, demand for traditional bricks-and-mortar retail is falling. Mid-market UK based retailers in the fashion industry are reported to be reducing the number of stores that they plan to open, as well as considering closures at lease expiry. Furniture retailers’ expansion plans have also been curtailed in the last couple of years, with High Street names such as John Lewis and Next having ceased their activity in acquiring stores in the pure homewares market.

Instead, retailers are adapting by restructuring supply chains and, in turn, requiring warehouse and logistics facilities for multi-level purposes. These include e-fulfilment warehouses to prepare and ship orders; picking and sorting; returns; and last mile delivery centres. According to Prologis, every €1 billion spent online requires an additional 775,000 square feet of warehouse space.

Supply constraints and pent-up demand

Supply constraints mean that the warehouse/logistics sector is struggling to keep up with demand, which reached a new peak at the start of 2017 [Source: JLL]. For example, between 2012 and 2016, when e-commerce was expanding, just 13.65m square feet of warehouses was delivered to the market, compared to 40.47m square feet between 2005 and 2009 [Source: Kevin Mofid, Savills].

Constrained supply has been attributed to the lack of developable land, given that the UK market is noted for having high barriers to entry. This has resulted in a shortage of ‘grade A’ prime property: in the fourth quarter of 2016, grade A available supply fell 23% and a further 3.3% during the first quarter of 2017. In addition, speculative completions during 2017 are expected to be lower than historical levels. In part, this decline is due to limited development finance post the Brexit vote, but importantly some occupiers are shifting to purpose-built facilities as much of the existing stock is considered insufficient for e-commerce needs.

Pressure on prime rents

These trends are resulting in high occupancy rates, low vacancy rates and rising pressure on prime rents. According to researchers Cushman & Wakefield, annual prime rental growth ranged from 3.1% in the West Midlands to 13% in Yorkshire in the first quarter of 2017. The South East, East and Yorkshire are seeing the strongest increase in e-commerce demand and rental growth in those areas is above 10% per annum. These supportive conditions offer stable and long-term income opportunities for investors, notwithstanding that the risk premium versus UK gilt yields is compressing.

Overall, the outlook remains constructive for rental growth prospects in the logistics and warehouse sector, due to the underpinnings of strong supply and demand dynamics. Total returns in the industrial and logistics sector should outperform those for office and retail over the next few years. That being said, the UK property cycle is maturing and investors may have to expect lower returns compared with recent history, despite strong fundamentals.

We have for some time advocated an investment approach that is targeted to sectoral trends, but also one that can seek income and return from specific regions. Over recent months we have chosen to invest in UK regions and cities outside of the South East and London, where capital values and yields potentially offer more attractive value. We believe that there are opportunities to be exploited in UK commercial property, but they are now appearing in more specific areas of the market which are undergoing structural change.

New research among 2,000 UK adults commissioned by virtual letting agency LetBritain has revealed a mass consumer exodus from offline businesses, finding:

• Half of consumers (51%) rely on online solutions for the vast majority of their products and services;
• 45% of UK adults – 23.10 million people – favour online services over ones that require them to go to physical premises, with 29% refusing to use a business if there is no online service;
• Londoners are the most technologically demanding, with 62% opting for online solutions and a majority(51%) consciously avoid businesses that do not offer online services;
• Looking to the future, 57% of UK adults – 29.26 million people – believe businesses with no online presence will be replaced by online or app-based competitors by 2027;
• When it comes to the rental market, Generation Rent are frustrated by the archaic processes still used by high-street estate agents;
• 31% of adults (15.92 million people) think using high-street letting agents to rent out a property is outdated and burdened by reams of paperwork;
• 25% prefer to use online-only services such as Gumtree or Spareroom.com to source and secure a rental property, with 32% not having the time to use services that require them to visit a physical premise within working hours.

UK adults are turning en masse to online platforms, frustrated by the archaic and out-dated processes used by offline businesses, new research by LetBritain reveals.

An independent, nationally-representative survey of 2,000 UK adults commissioned by virtual letting agency LetBritain has revealed mass consumer discontent with businesses failing to embrace digital disruption, with over half (51%) regularly going online to buy the vast majority of products and services they use. What’s more, 45% favour online services over ones that require them to go into a physical premise, and 29% actively avoid those businesses that do not offer an online service. People in the capital are the most technologically demanding, with 62% of Londoners opting for online solutions and half (51%) consciously avoiding businesses that do not offer online services.

Across UK industries, the rise of digital solutions is enhancing the accessibility, transparency and quality of services available to consumers. In response, the majority of UK society (57%) believes that businesses without an online presence or that require a significant amount of offline communication will be replaced by online-only or app-based alternatives within the next 10 years – equating to nearly 30 million UK adults. This number rises to three in four in the capital.

In light of this, LetBritain’s research found consumer dissatisfaction was particularly prevalent in the letting market, with both renters and landlords voicing their strong discontent at the lack of quick, accessible and easy online services available to those seeking to rent a property. With the annual rate of rental growth recently doubling in the UK, 31% of adults think that using high-street letting agents to rent out a property is outdated and overly-burdened by reams of paperwork.

In response to these widespread frustrations, one in four (25%) UK adults prefer to use online-only services such as Gumtree or Spareroom.com to source and secure a property, with 32% not having the time to use services or undertake transactions that require them to visit physical premises. This trend was particularly pertinent for Londoners – half of people (50%) in the capital rely on online services only when looking for a room or property to rent, with 55% not having the time to physically visit a property or office to undertake or complete a transaction.

Fareed Nabir, CEO of LetBritain, commented on the findings: “Over the past decade, online solutions have drastically transformed the way we  conduct business. Today’s research clearly shows that consumers not only expect but now demand that companies provide their services online. And on that point, the rental market is clearly falling short, with too many high-street real estate agents failing to embrace digital solutions, relying on cumbersome offline processes. For businesses in the rental market, the choice is simple – integrate and embrace online solutions or run the risk of being outpaced by changing consumer demand.”

(Source: LetBritain)

UK adults are turning en masse to online platforms, frustrated by the archaic and out-dated processes used by offline businesses.

An independent, nationally-representative survey of 2,000 UK adults commissioned by virtual letting agency LetBritain has revealed mass consumer discontent with businesses failing to embrace digital disruption, with over half (51%) regularly going online to buy the vast majority of products and services they use. What’s more, 45% favour online services over ones that require them to go into a physical premise, and 29% actively avoid those businesses that do not offer an online service. People in the capital are the most technologically demanding, with 62% of Londoners opting for online solutions and half (51%) consciously avoiding businesses that do not offer online services.

Across UK industries, the rise of digital solutions is enhancing the accessibility, transparency and quality of services available to consumers. In response, the majority of UK society (57%) believes that businesses without an online presence or that require a significant amount of offline communication will be replaced by online-only or app-based alternatives within the next 10 years – equating to nearly 30 million UK adults. This number rises to three in four in the capital.

In light of this, LetBritain’s research found consumer dissatisfaction was particularly prevalent in the letting market, with both renters and landlords voicing their strong discontent at the lack of quick, accessible and easy online services available to those seeking to rent a property. With the annual rate of rental growth recently doubling in the UK, 31% of adults think that using high-street letting agents to rent out a property is outdated and overly-burdened by reams of paperwork.

• Half of consumers (51%) rely on online solutions for the vast majority of their products and services;
• 45% of UK adults – 23.10 million people – favour online services over ones that require them to go to physical premises, with 29% refusing to use a business if there is no online service;
  • Londoners are the most technologically demanding, with 62% opting for online solutions and a majority(51%) consciously avoid businesses that do not offer online services;
• Looking to the future, 57% of UK adults – 29.26 million people – believe businesses with no online presence will be replaced by online or app-based competitors by 2027;
• When it comes to the rental market, Generation Rent are frustrated by the archaic processes still used by high-street estate agents:
  • 31% of adults (15.92 million people) think using high-street letting agents to rent out a property is outdated and burdened by reams of paperwork
  • 25% prefer to use online-only services such as Gumtree or Spareroom.com to source and secure a rental property, with 32% not having the time to use services that require them to visit a physical premise within working hours

In response to these widespread frustrations, one in four (25%) UK adults prefer to use online-only services such as Gumtree or Spareroom.com to source and secure a property, with 32% not having the time to use services or undertake transactions that require them to visit physical premises. This trend was particularly pertinent for Londoners – half of people (50%) in the capital rely on online services only when looking for a room or property to rent, with 55% not having the time to physically visit a property or office to undertake or complete a transaction.

Fareed Nabir, CEO of LetBritain, commented on the findings: “Over the past decade, online solutions have drastically transformed the way we  conduct business. Today’s research clearly shows that consumers not only expect but now demand that companies provide their services online. And on that point, the rental market is clearly falling short, with too many high-street real estate agents failing to embrace digital solutions, relying on cumbersome offline processes. For businesses in the rental market, the choice is simple – integrate and embrace online solutions or run the risk of being outpaced by changing consumer demand.”

(Source: Let Britain)

The Government estimates that between 225,000 and 275,000 homes need to be built per year to keep up with the rate of demand, however only 147,960 have been built for 2016/17 so far.

Many believe that this is because there is not enough money to buy the houses once they are built, as people cannot afford to get on the housing ladder due to the difficulty in saving enough deposit in order to get a mortgage, but this is not really the case as property priced at the more affordable end of the market, tends to be snapped up pretty quickly. In addition, the mortgage market has improved significantly and higher loan to value mortgages are once again available, although not at 100% loan to value as they were before the credit crunch.

There has been criticism over the government’s promise of a £2bn injection to help with funding to build social housing, as Downing Street aides have stated that this will only fund 5,000 of the 60,000 extra new houses needed to be built each year.  Funding is certainly not the major issue and we look at the main problems surrounding building more houses:

Loss of workers thanks to credit crunch and Brexit

When the credit crunch first hit in late 2007, 100% and high loan-to-value mortgages literally disappeared overnight. It happened so fast that even mortgage offers already in place were not honoured as lenders’ funds disappeared. The difficulty obtaining a mortgage made the desire of buying a house nearly impossible for a lot of people. Less people to buy houses impacted builders and property developers very quickly and left them with a lack of work. The demand for tradespeople such as carpenters, plumbers, electricians, bricklayers, etc. was decimated. It is important to realise that this was not a gradual decline over a number of years, it was a massive decline that happened over a matter of months.

The industry shrunk quickly and many people lost their jobs. As so many people skilled in the same trades lost their jobs and were unable to find more work doing the same thing, they were forced to find work outside the building industry and re-train in different sectors.

Over the last ten years, less people have entered the building industry due to lack of job prospects. Now the demand is back and prices are high again, more people will be needed in order to build more houses. Unemployment figures across the country are low so not many workers will be looking for jobs and to add to this problem, many European workers who filled lower paid roles have returned to their home countries due to the stronger Euro and concerns about Brexit. To get more workers, the roles offered will have to be more attractive which will push the cost of building the new houses up further.

Is there longevity in the building industry with the uncertainty of Brexit looming?

When demand for new houses disappeared and jobs were lost, the production of building materials slowed, and for some manufactures, ceased altogether. To build more houses we will need more materials – but the factories have not been waiting on standby for all of this time. To increase the supply of materials, manufactures will have to commit to more production, meaning costs of finding new premises and employing workers.

As specialist bridging loan brokers, many of our customers are business owners and property developers. They tell us that they are reluctant to commit to any new ventures that could be risky at the moment due to the uncertainty for the future, mainly caused by Brexit. Until the country faces a more stable future, many individuals responsible for making decisions needed in order for us to move forwards and build more houses will be remaining cautious and unlikely to spend huge sums of money opening factories or training new workers as they just do not know if it will be profitable, or indeed if it could actually prove very costly.

(Source: Key Loans and Mortgages Ltd)

With an ever-growing need for property, renting in the UK has become go-to game for many home seekers who can’t quite make it into the mortgage market. But what does this mean for the letting side of property? Fareed Nabir, CEO of PropTech platform LetBritain discusses for Finance Monthly.

Over recent weeks we have seen the UK’s two largest political forces host their party conferences. Along with inevitable, frequent mentions of Brexit and a fair amount of scrutiny for both the Labour and Conservative leaders, it also became clear that access to housing is at the top of Westminster’s agenda at present. In this respect, the private rental sector faces particular challenges in providing homes for a growing proportion of the country’s rising population. With the UK population projected to reach 70 million people by mid-2027, PWC estimates that an additional 1.8 million households will enter the UK’s private rental sector over the next eight years.

Central to the growing importance of the private lettings sector is the rising costs associated with purchasing a home. The average value of properties in London has risen by a whopping 78% in the ten years since the onset of the 2007 global financial crisis. Add to this further figures around rising prices for Manchester, the East Midlands and Scotland and a clear picture emerges. Whilst the UK property market may be a fruitful asset class for many investors, more and more UK residents are now coming to rely on the private rental sector as the bottom of the ladder rises out of their reach.

Recognising the value of renting

Reacting to the rising number of people moving out of homeownership, leading political figures have focused on addressing feelings of insecurity expressed by voters. Both the Conservative and Labour parties share a target of building one million new homes by the end of the parliament and are considering the possibility for longer tenancies to become the norm. Labour has taken this one step further and has embraced a policy pursued in cities including Berlin, Stockholm and New York, whereby the government intervenes in various ways to restrict rents.

However, we must also remember that for many people, renting is an extremely attractive option. One of the most attractive aspects of renting is the greater flexibility offered by tenancies relative to ownership. For example, if you have to move to a new city for work, it’s nowhere near as difficult as having to list a property and wait for a sale to be processed. With the UK workforce now more globally and nationally mobile than ever before, we must remember the historic advantages of renting if we are to effectively adapt. The reasons that made renting an attractive option in the past haven’t gone away; in fact they are now truer for more people than ever.

To this end, the emergence of a rising number of tech platforms within the property sector holds significant promise. A property market that was once dependent on bricks and mortar agencies, endless reams of paperwork, lengthy phone calls and poor transparency is fast becoming more efficient; as a result both landlords and tenants are coming to expect more. It’s now possible to begin the process of securing a rental property from anywhere in the world and engage directly with a landlord or their instructed letting agent.

In short, tech has meant that the process of letting a property can be made quicker, cheaper and more transparent for all involved. Commonplace in other aspects of people professional and personal lives, people in the UK today expect tech – everything from bespoke software and apps to slick online platforms and web support – to make hitherto laborious processes far, far easier.

Delivering choice and security

Recent LetBritain research into this emerging development found that 31% of UK adults, the equivalent of 15.92 million people, now think that using high street letting agents to rent out a property is outdated and overburdened by paperwork. A further 25% were found to be relying upon unregulated online-only alternatives to source and secure a rental property. Whilst a number of challenges remain in managing this transition, the scale of public sentiment is resoundingly favourable towards harnessing the power of tech to more conveniently and efficiently facilitate property rentals.

The challenge remains for the sector to deliver choice and security across the letting market. Landlords should not feel the need to put their property at risk by renting to an unreferenced tenant just because they were sourced online, and tenants deserve to know that their legal rights will be observed. If this is achieved, the private rental sector should be able to manage the demand that it’s set to face in the years ahead, with landlords and tenants alike incentivised to be communicative, transparent and forthcoming with all necessary documentation.

As more of us move around or find it difficult to buy in our desired location, digital solutions that enhance and protect the interests of landlords and renters are vital. So while political leaders are focusing heavily on turning Generation Rent into Generation Buy, it is equally important that they promote more progressive approaches for serving all those in the rental market.

There are mixed thoughts across the UK on the current state of the property market and the prospects to come. In some regions economists believe it’s the best it’s been in the last ten years, while others are confident in the current slump, particularly in London. Here Paresh Raja, CEO of Market Financial Solutions (MFS), talks Finance Monthly through his thoughts on the future of the UK property market.

The UK has developed something of an obsession with homeownership. While our European neighbours are content with long-term leasing contracts, homeownership in the UK is as much of a personal milestone as it is a popular financial investment – a report by YouGov found that 80% of British adults are aspiring to buy a property within the next 10 years. As an investment, property is a resilient asset able to withstand periods of market volatility. At the same time, price appreciation as a consequence of demand positively contributes to home equity, increasing its resale value and potential to deliver long-term returns.

The allure of residential real estate has remained consistently high in the UK, and the Brexit announcement has done little to dampen investor appetite for property. The average house price has risen by an average of 0.37% per month since the referendum vote in June 2016. Should this trend continue, house prices could rise by as much as 50% over the next decade. While an impressive feat, the same YouGov report stated that 85% of respondents believes that owning a home is very difficult in today’s economic climate.

To ensure homeownership remains an attainable goal, the Government has pledged to increase the housing stock by promoting the construction of new homes across the UK. A housing white paper released earlier in the year has also set out the Government’s plan to reform the housing market and contribute to housing supply, though little has been done since then to demonstrate the Government’s commitment to supporting property investment. While this is a welcome measure, such a pledge needs to be informed by a long-term strategy that lays down the foundations for the ongoing support of the property market against any future economic and political shifts.

Of course, there are variety of different avenues for aspiring homeowners to jump on the property ladder should they struggle to acquire finance from traditional lenders. The Bank of Mum and Dad (BOMAD) has fast become a leading source of finance for millennials struggling to acquire a mortgage or buy a house in a desirable location. Parents are predicted to lend over £6.5 billion in 2017 to support the property aspirations of their children – a 30% increase on the amount loaned in 2016.

Considering the amount of property wealth that has been amassed by UK retirees and the Baby Boomer generation, the transfer of such wealth through inheritance constitutes a significant proportion of property transactions – a study by Royal London anticipated that over the coming decade, £400 billion worth of real estate would be passed on from older generations to those aged between 25 and 44. This transition will have profound impact on the wider property market.

Recent research commissioned by MFS found that that 36% of people across the country will be inheriting a property – equivalent to 18.64 million people. Interestingly, the research found that over half of people due to inherit a property will be looking to sell it as soon as possible so they can re-invest the money in a different asset or property of their choosing. A third would also look to take advantage of the long-term returns on offer by undertaking some form of refurbishment so that the house is in a better condition to sell or place on the rental market.

The challenge remains for the property sector to provide clear guidance around the options that exist for those seeking to maximise the potential gains of their real estate inheritance, while at the same time bringing new properties onto the market in improved conditions. Taking into account the full range of trends underpinning the property market, homeownership does not have to be an attainable goal for the few. The market is at a critical juncture, and with demand for property consistently high, there are likely to be significant opportunities arising over the coming year.

According to the statistics, Price Central London began to witness a recovery in Q2, both in sales volumes and prices. This follows 2 years of stagnation as buyers held back due to Brexit and residential tax headwinds. The increase in average prices, however, can largely be attributed to a surge of high value sales with buyers taking advantage of price discounting at the luxury end of the market. Underlying price appreciation for the rest of the market remains significantly less buoyant.

England and Wales and Greater London continue to see falling transactions and slower overall price growth, impacted by the introduction of mortgage caps, the instability in the domestic economy and the growing new build crisis.

Price Central London (PCL)

• Sales volumes have strengthened slightly, with an annual increase of 4.8% to 3,885
• Average prices reached £1,946,151 in Q2 2017, representing quarterly price growth of 7.9%
• Despite the statistical increase, this has been buoyed by a number of high value transactions and an increasing proportion of luxury sales
• Q2 2017 saw the most expensive sale ever to transact through Land Registry at £90m for a flat in 199 The Knightsbridge Apartments
• As a result, the top 10% of the market performed particularly strongly in Q2, seeing a 20% increase in average prices to £8m
• The most active sector this quarter was the £5m - £10m bracket, where the proportion of sales increased by 23% over Q1
• Excluding the top 10% of the market, average quarterly price growth was 4.5%
• Growth in the buy to let sector was the most sluggish with a 1.3% increase in average prices for property under £810,000

Average prices in Prime Central London reached £1,946,151 in Q2 2017, following quarterly price growth of 7.9%. Despite a slow down as the market adjusted to increased residential taxation and Brexit, this recovery is, in part, a result of buyers seeking safe havens in the face of increasing uncertainty as tensions mount in the USA, Middle East and worldwide, together with the attractions of weak sterling and low interest rates.

Transactions in PCL have strengthened marginally in Q2, following a prolonged period of falls from 6,044 in Q2 2013. According to LCP’s analysis, 3,885 sales have taken place over the last 12 months, representing a small increase in annual sales of 4.8%.

Notwithstanding the headline figures in Q2, a detailed analysis indicates that price increases have been buoyed by a number of significant high value sales, including £90m for a flat in 199 The Knightsbridge Apartments, the most expensive sale ever to transact through Land Registry. As a result, a particularly strong performance has been seen for the top 10% of the market with prices increasing 20% to average £8m. With this excluded, average growth falls from 7.9% to a more typical 4.5%.

However, whilst homebuyers have capitalised on luxury property discounts, a divergent dynamic is being seen in the lower value market. Price growth in the buy to let sector was the most sluggish, reflecting a 1.3% increase for properties under £810,000. The proportion of sales under £1m also decreased by 9%, compared with a 20% increase over £5m.

Naomi Heaton, CEO of LCP, comments: “The increase in average prices appears to reflect a greater proportion of high value properties being sold, rather than any significant underlying growth. Not only have we seen some very large individual sales but transaction data shows the £5m - £10m bracket was the most active in Q2 with a 23% increase over Q1. This can be attributed to international homebuyers taking advantage of notable price discounts, alongside beneficial currency exchange rates. The buy to let sector, on the other hand, is seeing a much slower picture as investors continue to adopt a wait and see attitude.”

“Looking at the monthly breakdown gives us a clearer picture of what is really happening in the market overall. Whilst bumper transactions boosted average prices to as high as £2.2m in April and May, which included the most expensive sale to register through Land Registry at £90m, June reflected a more sedate picture with average prices falling back to £1.65m.”

Greater London

• Average prices have shown quarterly price growth of 4% and now stand at £634,234
• However, annual transactions fell by 24% in Q2, resulting in a low of 88,545 sales, half those 10 years ago

Heaton comments: “Greater London is principally a domestic market and whilst prices continue to show growth, slowing sales volumes reflect the current state of the UK economy. Concerns around Brexit have impacted the ‘feel good’ factor which drives buyers’ decisions, whilst affordability issues resulting from caps on mortgage lending have hampered buyers ability to trade up or get onto the housing ladder. Falling sales volumes are also exacerbated by problems within the new build sector. This has seen international speculators pull back in the face of uncertain or negative returns. It is reported that the number of new building starts in London will fall to just 21,500 this year, meaning only 18,000 new homes will be built by 2021.”

England and Wales

• Average prices in England and Wales have shown almost nil quarterly price growth at 0.27% and now stand at £287,823
• Transactions fell by 12% in Q2 with 844,380 sales annually, the lowest since Q2 2010

Heaton comments: “Despite Government measures to reduce Stamp Duty for 98% of the market and schemes to promote activity such as Help to Buy, weaker sentiment and restrictions on borrowing continue to impact on the domestic market in England and Wales. With static price growth in Q2 and annual transactions levels falling a further 12.3%, the Government seriously needs to address the growing affordability issues within the sector and support the building of more low-cost housing for buyers. The artificial stimulus packages and tax reliefs do not appear to be reinvigorating new buying activity.”

(Source: London Central Portfolio Limited)

Three in five (60%) people surveyed by Masthaven bank believes that they would find it hard to get a mortgage today - half (50%) of UK homeowners surveyed feel this way, indicating some may feel like mortgage prisoners.

According to a new report by challenger bank Masthaven, the mortgage market is not in tune with modern consumers' evolving needs; the world has changed and the mortgage industry needs to play catch up. Today the bank publishes new data which indicates that UK householders sense a ‘computer says no’ mentality from mortgage lenders.

Masthaven’s Game of Loans report found many people surveyed believe they wouldn’t get a mortgage today. The poll, conducted by Opinium, reveals that both would-be and existing homebuyers are unsure if lenders would support them: 60% of the adults surveyed believe that if they were to buy a home today, it would be hard to get a mortgage. The bank is concerned that half (50%) of all adults who are homeowners surveyed feel this way; and it’s worried that they may feel like mortgage prisoners.

The new study - comprising two surveys of over 2,000 UK adults, in January and July 2017 - found that almost two in three (65%) people polled believes that getting a mortgage is about ‘box ticking’ not the reality of someone’s situation. This opinion has risen markedly by ten percentage points (from 55%) since the first poll in January.

It also highlights how people feel the mortgage market must adapt to appreciate their changing lives – a large majority (81%) of people surveyed believe lenders should make an effort to understand homebuyers’ individual circumstances. This view is strong among people aged 55 or over (88%), UK homeowners (84%) and parents (82%).

Age is a contentious issue

Nearly three in four (74%) people surveyed said they feel that meeting repayment criteria should determine mortgage eligibility, not age. Moreover, three in five (60%) of those surveyed believes that everyone who can afford the repayments when they retire should be eligible for a mortgage. This view has risen up from 53% since the January poll.

Commenting on the findings, Jon Hall, Managing Director of Masthaven said: “Just as homes have kerb-appeal to buyers, it seems people have a perceived sense of their own mortgage-appeal to lenders. Our report highlights how many people believe they have low or no appeal to mortgage lenders; they have little faith in the market. Whether these homeowners’ beliefs are founded or not, the industry cannot ignore how customers feel – their perceptions need attention. I believe the industry can adapt, and we’re publishing the report to encourage lenders to look at the new face of home borrowing: ordinary people with normal lives. The UK mortgage industry must create products and processes that are fit-for-purpose for society today – a world that’s rapidly evolved and looks different to even just a few years ago.”

Time for change

Game of Loans examines four audiences segments: self-employed, older borrowers, parents, and younger borrowers. Masthaven suggests that, despite new mortgage regulations providing a more stable framework, lenders have not adapted their approaches to cope with evolving financial lives. The bank is urging lenders to look closer at individual borrowers’ lives, so they can create products and processes that are fit for modern life. For example:

• Self-employed: Given the continuing rise of this workforce, the mortgage industry needs to take a fresh look at how it can support them. Affordability models need to reflect the concept of self-employed income; in many instances self-employed borrowers cannot even get past the initial mortgage selection criteria and progress their case to a trained mortgage underwriter, who would have the skills to be able to read and assess their company accounts.
• Parents: The robust affordability criteria have been set for a very good reason, but in many cases parents believe they can afford to make the mortgage repayments. Responsible lenders should be working with brokers to help find affordable solutions that are fit for modern families.
• Younger borrowers: Continued innovation is needed to help first-time buyers onto the property ladder. From unlocking intergenerational wealth and helping grandparents and parents with equity in their homes support their families, to boosting the building of affordable homes.
• Older borrowers:  The old adage of paying off your mortgage pre-retirement simply isn’t realistic for many people today. As the Government launches Lifetime ISAs to bolster home ownership for the under 40s, it should also consider solutions for an ageing population which keeps mortgages alive for longer.

Jon Hall added: “The audiences examined in our report aren’t niche groups on the fringes of society, they’re growing segments of the population with modern needs that a thriving mortgage market must address. It shouldn’t be 'game over' for many homebuyers before they’ve even put a foot on the property ladder. As a bank we need to make sure our application of the affordability rules are revisited regularly, to check hard-working householders are not being excluded from the mortgage market.  As a specialist lender we put people at the heart of the solution. Manual underwriting drives our decision-making rather than technology, and we work in tandem with brokers to assess customers’ individual needs.  I’m concerned to hear so many borrowers feel unsupported when in reality an experienced lender, with flexible processes and great broker partnerships, may be able to help.”

Other key findings

Alongside how difficult they felt it would be to get a mortgage, Masthaven asked people their views on other topics, including: the mortgage process, the UK housing shortage, intergenerational disparity, and lending into retirement.

Over half (55%) of self-employed respondents believes they would find it hard to get a mortgage today; and 70% of them feel that getting a mortgage is about which financial boxes you ‘tick’, not the reality of your situation.

Respondents’ perception of their ‘mortgage-appeal’ varied across the UK. Respondents in Wales have the strongest doubts - 72% believe they would find it hard to get a mortgage today, compared to 53% in Scotland. 68% of people in the East of England feel it would be hard, compared to 50% in Yorkshire & Humberside.

While many (73%) respondents have never used a mortgage broker or adviser, over a quarter (27%) have. Among the latter group, almost one in five (19%) said it was because their circumstances were “complicated”.

Three in four (75%) respondents believes it is unfair the young are struggling to get onto the housing ladder today. This view rises to 78% among people aged 55 or over. It drops to 72% among men, but rises to 78% among women.

Many people surveyed believe the UK housing gap will grow:  61% predict the shortage of affordable homes will increase in the next five years; this rises to 64% among people aged 55+ and is felt strongest (68%) in Scotland.

Nearly three in five (58%) respondents believes the price difference between homes in the north and south of the UK will increase in the next five years, but views vary - ranging from 79% in Newcastle to 44% in Cardiff.

More than two in three (67%) people polled thinks UK interest rates will increase in the next five years; meanwhile almost a third (32%) believes the average wage of homeowners will decrease in the next five years.

(Source: Masthaven Bank)

People are paying more for their homes around the world, with average house prices up 6.5% in the last 12 months.

But, where have house prices grown faster than the average income?

Assured Removalists have combined data on average annual salary, income tax and house prices to produce a ratio that shows the measure of housing affordability around the world. The higher the ratio is, the less affordable the houses are.

How does your country compare? You can view the full data set here.

Mortgage sales for the UK decreased by £1.8 billion in July, down 10.8% on the previous month, according to Equifax Touchstone analysis of the intermediary marketplace.

Buy-to-let figures were resistant to the general decline, down by just 0.2% (£3.9 million) to £2.6 billion, while residential sales dropped by 12.8% (£1.8 billion) to £12.2 billion. Overall, mortgage sales for the month totalled £14.8 billion, up 10.8% year-on-year.

All regions across the UK suffered a significant fall in sales. Scotland suffered the biggest slump of 19.8%, followed closely by Northern Ireland (-18.5%), and the South East (-15.4%).

John Driscoll, Director at Equifax Touchstone, said: “These figures show how volatile the mortgage market can be. Sales have tumbled in July, with every region suffering substantial declines as buyers are put off by continuing political and economic uncertainty, coupled with the worrying gap between inflation and wage growth. These circumstances may be further compounded by the potential for an interest rate hike as early as September, driven by continued pressure on the pound.

“On a more optimistic note, mortgage sales are up over 10% year-on-year and a dip in sales for July is not uncommon; however, as the summer period comes to a close, the long-term outlook for the market still remains very unclear.”

The data from Equifax Touchstone, which covers the majority of the intermediated lending market, shows that the average value of a residential mortgage in July was £199,286 (2016: £188,115) and £159,721 for buy-to-let (2016: £158,415).

Equifax Touchstone utilises intermediary and customer profiling tools to provide financial services providers with a detailed understanding of their marketplace and client base.

(Source: Equifax)

The biggest investment most people make in their lives is usually buying a home. It has always been however, an ambitious thing to do, and now, in 2017, more so than ever. Below Finance Monthly hears more on the risks of a lifetime ISA from Stefano Giudici, Marketing Manager at Money Farm.

For young people aspiring to buy their first home, speculation about a future slump in house prices could be good news, but for those people who have only just started saving for a deposit, a fall in house prices in the immediate future will come too early.

Average property prices and minimum mortgage deposits

Generally speaking, the smallest deposit to secure a mortgage is 5%. Most lenders are currently asking for a minimum deposit of 10%. According to Halifax, and as reported on the BBC website, the average UK house price fell to £218,390 in June. This means that as a minimum, a deposit of nearly £22,000 would be required.

Of course the larger the deposit you can put down, the small the mortgage; so it’s advisable to save as much, as quickly as you can in order to make mortgage repayments affordable. The best mortgage deals you can make at present require a whopping 40% deposit.

The new lifetime ISA

The government has stepped into the picture to try and help first time buyers by launching the Lifetime ISA or LISA for short. This is a new platform that is designed to take over from the current Help to Buy ISA. To be eligible for the new LISA you must be aged between 18 and 39 years old.

If you do use your LISA to help you to buy a house valued at up to £450,000, the government will add a 25% bonus. The only problem is that if you have to withdraw anything from your LISA for emergency expenditure before you buy a property, the penalty is severe. It amounts to 25%, all of which has to be paid to HMRC.

Beware of accessing LISA investments before you buy a house

The problem for many people who want to invest in their future is that they do not have much disposable income. If all their savings are tied up in a LISA they will have no choice but to access them if an emergency or unforeseen situation arises. This could cost them dear and make a big hole in their home purchase plans.

It is because of this that the FCA advises that investors should only opt for a LISA when they are confident they will not need to access their investment before buying a first home.

LISAs can also be used as an investment for retirement. However, in this context, this 25% penalty can also catch you out if you have to access your savings before you’re 60.

Advice from the FCA

What this means is that for many people, investing in a LISA might not be wise. They would be far better off by using another platform such as a stocks and shares ISA. Although there is no government bonus, the gross total AER would, over a period of time, probably exceed what you would have been given in the way of the government bonus.

The beauty of a stock and shares ISA also is the fact that you can access your investment if you need it, without penalty, in something like 5 to 7 days on average.

What it all amounts to is that you need to be aware of the advantages and the pit-falls that the various investment platforms have. The best thing to do before you commit yourself is to seek advice from an IFA.