The Financial and Economic Consequences of Brexit
On June 23rd, 2016 United Kingdom citizens have voted to leave the European Union, deciding that costs of free movement of immigration were much bigger than the benefits of being part of the unified monetary body.
The deadline to negotiate the exit was recently prolonged to October 31st, 2019. What are financial and economic consequences going to be for the UK? Public opinion has changed a lot lately. Theresa May has stepped down from the position of the UK’s Prime Minister and got replaced by Boris Johnson on 24th July. He promised that Brexit is going to be executed by 1st November with or without a deal with the European Union. Labour party demands another vote, as their members don’t think that leaving the EU would be a good idea at this moment.
Great Britain would no longer have the tariff-free trade status with other European countries if they decide to leave without a deal. This would have a significant increase in exports cost and automatically make the UK goods more expensive in Europe and potentially weaker the British Pound.
The prices to import goods to the UK would be higher, which also means some of them would simply reconsider distribution to Britain.
The same thing would happen with European merchants. The prices to import goods to the UK would be higher, which also means some of them would simply reconsider distribution to Britain. One-third of the food is coming from the European Union, which means inflation and a lower standard of living would be inevitable for UK residents. No deal agreement could also reignite the issues with North Ireland. This country would stay with the UK but there would be a custom border introduced between them and the Republic of Ireland. The last two things we would like to mention as a potential consequence of no-deal exit are rights for EU citizens living in the UK and outstanding bills. In case of an exit like this UK would have to pay $51 billion of debt and find a solution to guarantee rights to EU people within their borders.
Hard Brexit is the second alternative, and it is different in so many ways than the above-mentioned exit. This one would include a trade agreement with the EU; but this would require another re-schedule of the exit, as there is no enough time to negotiate it. Hard Brexit could have serious consequences on London as the financial centre. A lot of companies would stop using it as an English-speaking entry to the European Union economy. Also according to the latest research, more than six thousand people could lose jobs because of this and turn the real estate market into a disaster. There would be hundreds of office buildings in London sitting empty, without anyone to rent them. By comparing housing prices now and two years back, the price has already started to drop drastically. Another significant impact on UK companies would be the inability to place bids on public contracts in any European Union zone. This would take a massive toll on banking as well. Best betting sites experts have publish some odds that show that Hard Brexit deal would also increase costs of mobile phone services and airfares. Could the UK lose Scotland in case of Hard Brexit agreement? Potentially, yes. Scotland might have a bigger advantage of being an EU member, which also means a referendum to leave the United Kingdom. One of the most profitable industries in the UK is online gambling, and this one shouldn’t be affected much by any option.